Challenges and opportunities for the solar market in 2024

Growth and challenges in 2023

The year 2023 saw a significant increase in demand for solar modules, reaching 53% growth. However, challenges such as accumulated inventories, labor shortages and grid-related issues hampered project implementation.

Supply glut in 2024

The supply glut is set to continue into 2024, limiting new production capacity. Despite price cuts benefiting project yields, intense competition threatens the profitability of industry players, with possible expansion cancellations in 2024.

Impact of protectionist policies

Protectionist policies, notably the US Inflation Reduction Act, are influencing the global market. Although solar production capacity has emerged in the USA and India, the supply chain remains concentrated in China, where 93% of the world’s polysilicon is produced.

Impact on world markets

The USA saw a 16% drop in installations in 2023 due to import restrictions linked to the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act. The market is evolving with the emergence of production capacity outside China, but competition remains focused on modules.
 

Projections and outlook for 2024

 
Projections for 2024 remain positive despite challenges related to grid capacity, labor shortages and policy fluctuations. Ultimately, growth in the solar market will depend on the supply side’s ability to control costs, invest in R&D and adapt to increased competition with the emergence of new international production capacities.


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More information on solar potential in France here.

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